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Phil Tetlock, author of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, shows us how anyone can learn how to be a better predictor of events. You’ll leave our conversation with a better understanding of how to predict the future and a valuable approach to bouncing back when you’re wrong.
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-Danny Kahneman: Outside vs the Inside View
- “You only know what’s impossible until you try.”
- “You don’t become a superforecaster by lingering for a long time in the maybe zone.”
- “You can do all of the right things in the real world, and you can get burned pretty badly because the world can be quite capricious.”
- “Even broken clocks are right twice a day.”